Archive for February 2015

How often can Thomas Bayes check the results of his A/B test?

Stopping your A/B test once you reach significance is a great way to find bogus results…if you’re a frequentist.  Checking before you have the statistical power to detect the phenomenon will often lead to false positives if you rely on classical/frequentist methods.  A Bayesian with an informative null-result prior can avoid these problems.  Let’s think about why. Continue reading ‘How often can Thomas Bayes check the results of his A/B test?’ »